LI Jin,FENG Xian,HAN Rui-juan.Vegetable Consumptions Condition and Trend Prediction of Urban Households in Beijing[J].Northern Horticulture,2015,39(06):197-202.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.201506054]
北京市城镇居民蔬菜消费现状及趋势预测
- Title:
- Vegetable Consumptions Condition and Trend Prediction of Urban Households in Beijing
- Keywords:
- Beijing; vegetable; consumption; prediction
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 在新型城镇化及居民日益增长的生活水平背景下，开展蔬菜消费特点、消费需求影响以及消费预测的研究具有一定意义。现通过分析北京城镇居民蔬菜消费现状，总结归纳了北京城镇居民蔬菜消费特点，并结合ELES模型与时间序列预测模型，对蔬菜消费系统以及消费需求进行了深入分析和展望，得出相应结论。
- Abstract:
- With the living standards improving，carrying out the study of vegetable consumption characteristics，consumption demand effects and consumption prediction is of significance under the new pattern urbanization.This paper firstly analyzed the vegetables consumption condition of Beijing urban residents，and then summarized the consumption characteristics.After that，ELES model and time series model were used in this paper to predict the trend of vegetable consumption in Beijing.And finally some conclusions were drawn from the empirical study.
参考文献/References:
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介：李瑾（1978-），女，博士，副研究员，研究方向为农业经济与政策。E-mail：lij@nercita.org.cn. 责任作者：冯献（1986-），女，博士，助理研究员，研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。E-mail：fengxian_caas@163.com. 基金项目：北京市农林科学院科技创新能力建设专项资助项目（KJCX20140501）。