CHANG Cheng,HUAI Jianjun.Assessment of Perceived Vulnerability of Apple Farmers to Climate Risk in the Loess Plateau[J].Northern Horticulture,2018,42(05):200-205.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20172823]
黄土高原苹果农户气候风险的感知脆弱性评估
- Title:
- Assessment of Perceived Vulnerability of Apple Farmers to Climate Risk in the Loess Plateau
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为测量黄土高原苹果生产的气候风险，使用陕甘宁17个苹果主产县2014年的截面数据，计算农户感知脆弱性指数，区分气温敏感和气温耐受两类农户群体，通过多元回归分别探讨可持续生计框架中各种生计资本指标与两类农户感知脆弱性的关系。结果表明：16个生计资本指标对气温敏感农户的感知脆弱性没有影响；气温耐受农户的感知脆弱性随一个生计资本指标（家庭规模）增加而增大。可持续生计框架对农户感知脆弱性评价作用有限，应该和农户感知、适应行为结合才能更好的区分脆弱人群，有效减小脆弱性。
- Abstract:
- In order to measure the climatic risk of apple production in the Loess Plateau,the cross-sectional data of 17 apple-producing counties in Shaanxi,Gansu and Ningxia were used to calculate the perceived vulnerability index of farmer households and distinguish temperature-sensitive and-resilient farmer household groups to validate the relationship between various indicators of livelihood capitals in the Sustainable Livelihoods Framework and perceived vulnerability in two types of farmer household groups.It was found that 16 livelihood capital indicators had no effect on the perceived vulnerability of temperature-sensitive households;and the perceived vulnerability of temperature-resilient farmers increased with an indicator of the livelihood capital （family size).The Sustainable Livelihood Framework had limited impact on farmers′ perception of vulnerability,which should be combined with the farmers′ perception and adaptive behavior to classify vulnerable groups and reduce the vulnerability.
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介：常成（1993-），男，硕士研究生，研究方向为气候变化与企业。E-mail:1252500661@qq.com. 责任作者：淮建军（1974-），男，博士，教授，现主要从事气候变化经济学等研究工作。E-mail:h2009j.happy@163.com. 基金项目：国家自然科学基金资助项目（71473196）；第28批教育部回国留学人员科研启动资助项目；2015年度西北农林科技大学国际科技合作种子基金资助项目。收稿日期：2017-10-30