|Table of Contents|

Empirical Analysis on Fluctuation of Urban Vegetable Prices in China(PDF)

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Issue:
2017年08
Page:
190-195
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Empirical Analysis on Fluctuation of Urban Vegetable Prices in China
Author(s):
HUANG Xiujie1; CHU Xialing1; BAI Xuena1; LIU Haiying2
(1.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development，Guangdong Academy of Agricultural Sciences，Guangzhou,Guangdong 510640；2.Ordos College，Inner Mongolia University，Ordos,Inner Mongolia 017000)
Keywords:
vegetable prices; fluctuation; consumer price index of fresh vegetables; asymmetric transmission; industry chain price transmission
PACS:
-
DOI:
10.11937/bfyy.201708043
Abstract:
In order to investigate the fluctuation of urban vegetable prices in China，and understand the main factors affecting vegetable price fluctuation，the residents consumer price index of fresh vegetables of 36 large and medium-sized cities was analyzed，and five vegetable varieties，Chinese cabbage，tomato，cucumber，eggplant，pepper were chosen to carry on the key inspection.Using X-12 seasonal adjustment model，the seasonal factor for the price of vegetables was released，and then using asymmetric error correction model (APT-ECM)，the asymmetric conduction of price of vegetables was verified，the markets price fluctuations of these 5 kinds of vegetables were studied from the perspective of industry chain price transmission.Results showed that the national 36 large and medium-sized urban residents of fresh vegetables in the consumer price index showed an upward trend in 2009—2014，from 95.6 to 134.8 with an annual increase of 7.1%；vegetable supply was at least in fall and winter seasons，vegetable price was the highest；from the industry chain price transmission point of view，between the national wholesale vegetable market prices and bazaars price transfer with non symmetry，the wholesale market price fluctuations would lead to downstream markets more significant price volatility；seasonal vegetable production cost push，vegetable production，the government′s macro-control were the main factors affecting the characteristics of city vegetable price fluctuation in China.

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Last Update: 2017-05-08