LU Dongning,ZHANG Yu,LEI Shibin.Study on Driving Factors and Decoupling Effect of Agricultural Carbon Emission in Shaanxi Province Under the Background of ‘Double Carbon’ Target[J].Northern Horticulture,2022,(20):133-140.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20221212]
“双碳”目标背景下陕西农业碳排放驱动因素与脱钩效应研究
- Title:
- Study on Driving Factors and Decoupling Effect of Agricultural Carbon Emission in Shaanxi Province Under the Background of ‘Double Carbon’ Target
- Keywords:
- agricultural carbon emissions; LMDI model; decoupling effect; low-carbon agriculture; Shaanxi Province
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 农业低碳发展对陕西省实现“双碳”目标意义重大。基于农业生产中21类碳排放源对陕西省2006—2020年农业碳排放量进行测度，采用LMDI模型对其农业碳排放驱动因素进行分析，进一步运用Tapio脱钩模型计算出陕西省农业碳排放的脱钩系数。结果表明：1）陕西省农业碳排放呈先上升后缓慢下降的倒“U”型趋势，农地利用产生的碳排放量最大；2）农业经济发展正向驱动农业碳排放，农业生产效率、农业生产结构及劳动力均抑制农业碳排放；3）陕西省农业碳排放与经济发展呈现弱脱钩、强脱钩、扩张连接及扩张负脱钩4种脱钩现象。2016年后，主要以强脱钩为主，说明陕西省采取的农业低碳发展策略取得了一定成效。今后，陕西省应继续从多方面推进农业低碳发展。
- Abstract:
- Agricultural low-carbon development is of great significance for Shaanxi Province to achieve the goal of ‘double carbon’.Based on 21 kinds of carbon emission sources in agricultural production,the agricultural carbon emission of Shaanxi Province from 2006 to 2020 was measured,the driving factors of agricultural carbon emission were analyzed by LMDI model,and the decoupling coefficient of agricultural carbon emission in Shaanxi Province was calculated by Tapio decoupling model.The results showed that,1) the agricultural carbon emission in Shaanxi Province showed an inverted ‘U’ trend,which first increased and then decreased slowly,and the carbon emission produced by agricultural land use was the largest.2) Agricultural economic development was positively driving agricultural carbon emission,and agricultural production efficiency,agricultural production structure and labor force all inhibit agricultural carbon emission.3) There were four decoupling phenomena between agricultural carbon emission and economic development in Shaanxi Province,weak decoupling,strong decoupling,expansion connection and expansion negative decoupling.After 2016,it was mainly strong decoupling,indicating that the agricultural low-carbon development strategy adopted by Shaanxi Province had achieved certain results.In the future,Shaanxi Province should continue to promote agricultural low-carbon development in many aspects.
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介：卢东宁（1968-），男，博士，教授，现主要从事农业经济管理等研究工作。E-mail:15069068608@163.com.基金项目：国家自然科学基金资助项目（71864036）；延安大学研究生“疫情防控和经济社会发展”专项研究资助项目（YCX2022049）。收稿日期：2022-03-29