LIU Miaomiao,FAN Fan.An Empirical Study on the Impact of Agricultural Modernization on Farmers′ Income[J].Northern Horticulture,2021,(04):158-163.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20200486]
农业现代化对农民收入影响的实证研究
- Title:
- An Empirical Study on the Impact of Agricultural Modernization on Farmers′ Income
- Keywords:
- agricultural modernization; farmers′ income; principal component analysis; VAR model; policy recommendations
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 基于2000—2017年湖北省时间序列数据，利用降维的思想对影响农民收入的变量运用主成分分析法和VAR模型进行探究。通过筛选得出2个影响农民收入的公共因子分别为受教育程度、科技发展。结果表明：受教育程度、科技发展和农民收入之间存在长期的协整关系。根据格兰杰因果关系检验，2个变量因子对农民收入增长有正向促进作用，这种促进作用是单向的且在短期内就能凸显出来。综上所述，应继续加大科技创新投入，不断提高义务教育年限，降低人才引进壁垒，为科技创新提供动力源泉。
- Abstract:
- Based on the time series data of Hubei Province from 2000 to 2017, this study used the idea of dimensionality reduction to explore the variables that affect farmers′ income using principal component analysis and VAR model. Through screening, two public factors that affect farmers′ income were obtained, namely education level and technological development.Empirical research showed that there was a long-term co-integration relationship between education level, technological development and farmers′ income. According to the granger causality test, the two variable factors had a positive effect on farmers′ income growth, and this promotion effect was one-way and could be prominent in the short term.In summary, we should continue to increase investment in technological innovation, continuously increase the length of compulsory education, reduce barriers to the introduction of talents, and provide a source of power for technological innovation.
参考文献/References:
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介：刘苗苗（1990-），女，硕士，现主要从事农业经济等研究工作。E-mail：2384637137@qq.com.责任作者：樊帆（1968-），男，硕士，教授，现主要从事农业经济等研究工作。E-mail：1525343344@qq.com.基金项目：2019年度湖北省科协科技创新智库资助项目（ZWWH-19ZC-FW158）。收稿日期：2020-02-13