SUN Meng,ZHI Gengyin,WANG Ning.Empirical Analysis of Factors Affecting the Risk Preferences of Mung Bean Producers[J].Northern Horticulture,2021,(01):153-159.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20200022]
绿豆生产者风险偏好影响因素实证分析
- Title:
- Empirical Analysis of Factors Affecting the Risk Preferences of Mung Bean Producers
- 关键词:
- 绿豆生产者; 风险追求; 风险厌恶; 风险规避系数; 有序Probit模型
- Keywords:
- mung bean producers; risk seeking; risk aversion; risk aversion coefficient; ordered probit model
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 为保持绿豆生产的可持续发展,稳定绿豆生产者的风险态度,使其在生产中降低风险投入的同时增加生产效益,利用黑龙江省213户绿豆生产者的调研数据,运用有序Probit模型对黑龙江省绿豆生产者风险偏好的影响因素进行分析。结果表明:从事绿豆种植年限、绿豆市场价格、退休后继续从事绿豆种植、主粮(玉米、大豆、水稻)种植面积占比增加均对不同程度的风险态度有影响。为稳定生产者的风险态度,提出了提高生产者们对绿豆种植风险的意识水平,多渠道加强培训;鼓励达到退休年龄的生产者继续从事绿豆种植;建议国家农业相关部门提高对主要粮食作物的补贴或惠民政策标准及价格的调控等建议。
- Abstract:
- In order to maintain the sustainable development of mung bean production,stabilize the risk attitude of mung bean producers,and make them reduce the risk input in production while increasing the production benefit,based on the survey data of 213 mung bean producers in Heilongjiang Province and using an ordered probit model to analyze the influencing factors of the risk preferences of mung bean producers in Heilongjiang Province.The results showed that engaged in mung bean planting years,mung bean market prices,continue to engage in mung bean cultivation after retirement and the increase in the proportion of staple food (corn,soybean,rice) planting area had an impact on risk attitudes to varying degrees.Therefore,in order to stabilize the risk attitude of producers,it was proposed to improve the level of producers′ awareness of the risk of mung bean planting and strengthen it through multiple channels;encourage producers who had reached the retirement age to continue to engage in mung bean cultivation;suggested that the relevant national agricultural departments increased the subsidies for major food crops or benefit the people′s policy standards and adjust prices.
参考文献/References:
[1]刘慧,李宁辉.中国绿豆贸易状况与趋势展望[J].农业展望,2013,9(6):62-64.[2]刘峰.黑龙江省绿豆产业现状及技术对策[J].杂粮作物,2010,30(2):151-153.[3]张超,李超.我国原粮与杂粮价格的趋势周期差异分析[J].江汉论坛,2014(2):61-66.[4]武玉环,郭静利.我国绿豆价格波动及趋势分析[J].北方园艺,2016(18):196-201.[5]徐玖平,黄云歌.管理经济学概论[M].北京:高等教育出版社,2006.[6]邹公明.风险理论[M].上海:上海财经大学出版社,2003.[7]周波,张旭.农业技术应用中种稻大户风险偏好实证分析:基于江西省1 077户农户调查[J].农林经济管理学报,2014(6):584-594.[8]仇焕广,栾昊,李瑾,等.风险规避对生产者化肥过量施用行为的影响[J].中国农村经济,2014(3):85-96.[9]周荣柱,秦富.生产者市场风险规避能力及其影响因素分析:基于8省1047份蛋鸡养殖户问卷调查[J].中国农业大学学报,2018,23(2):182-191.[10]ABDULLAHI O A.Estimating risk aversion coefficients for dry land wheat,irrigated corn and dairy producers in Kansas[J].Applied Economics,2003,35:825-834.[11]BAR-SHIRA Z,JUST R E,ZILBERMAN D.Estimation of farmers′ risk attitude:an econometric approach[J].Agricultural Economics,1997(17):211-222.[12]BINSWANGER H P.Attitudes toward risk:Experimental measurement in rural India[J].American Journal of Agricultural Economics,1980,62(3):395-407.[13]SACHIKO M.Household′s risk attitudes in Indonesian villages[J].Applied Economics,2003,35(5):573-583.[14]DILLON J L.,PASQUALE L.SCANDIZZO.Risk attitudes of subsistence farmers in northeast Brazil:A sampling approach[J].American Journal of Agricultural Economics,1978(8):425-435.[15]KUMBHARKAR S C.Specification and estimation of production risk,risk preference and technical efficiency[J].American Journal of Agricultural Economics,2002,84(1):8-22.[16]PICAZO-TADEO A J,WALL A.Production risk,risk aversion and the determination of risk attitudes among Spanish rice producers[J].Agricultural Economics,2011,42(4):451-464.[17]WANG N,YU L,JIANG F Z.The supply decisions of medium-scale hog producers based on risk aversion[J].Technical Bulletin,2017,55(4):536-543.[18]许健,陈清利,马宝新,等.黑龙江省西部半干旱地区玉米生产现状与对策[J].中国种业,2018(12):26-29.[19]王琦,吴冲.企业社会责任财务效应动态性实证分析:基于生命周期理论[J].中国管理科学,2013,21(S2):542-548.[20]郝金磊,贾金荣.西部地区农民养老模式选择意愿的影响因素分析:基于有序Probit模型和结构方程模型的实证研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2010,25(11):107-112.
备注/Memo
第一作者简介:孙盟(1995-),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。E-mail:1984361380@qq.com.责任作者:王宁(1972-),女,博士,教授,现主要从事农业经济理论与政策等研究工作。E-mail:1262048825@qq.com.基金项目:黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划资助项目(19JYE263);黑龙江八一农垦大学研究生创新科研资助项目(YJSCX2019-Y84)。收稿日期:2020-01-02