LIU Fang,CHEN Sining,LI Chun,et al.Evaluation of Heat Resources and Crop Collocation Standard of Solar Greenhouse in Tianjin[J].Northern Horticulture,2018,42(09):93-99.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20174363]
天津市日光温室热量资源评价及其茬口搭配标准
- Title:
- Evaluation of Heat Resources and Crop Collocation Standard of Solar Greenhouse in Tianjin
- Keywords:
- BP neural network; solar greenhouse; crop collocation
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 采用BP神经网络算法，以2012—2013、2013—2014的2年冬季温室内外气象数据为样本，建立了温室内气温模拟模型；应用模型模拟了2009—2014年天津3种温室（土墙温室、新型温室、传统二代温室）冬季室内气温变化情况；根据温室冬季种植作物情况，建立了天津市日光温室基于热量指标的茬口搭配标准。结果表明：模型采用均方根误差和准确率作为检验指标，日最低气温的均方根误差为1.9～3.5 ℃，绝对误差低于4 ℃的准确率为72%～100%，模拟效果较好，日最高气温受人为通风时间早晚和长短的影响，模拟误差略大。选取正积温、有效积温、临界温度概率作为温室评价指标，计算出3种温室近5年（2009—2014）评价指标的变化，分别选取蓟州、静海、武清温室进行指标验证，结果表明基于热量指标计算的茬口搭配与实际茬口基本一致。
- Abstract:
- Meteorological data of outside solar greenhouse of two overwintering periods (2012—2013 and 2013—2014) were used to construct the temperature inside solar greenhouse simulation model based on BP neural network.The temperature in greenhouse from 2009 to 2014 in overwintering period was simulated for three different and typical greenhouses (soil greenhouse，new type greenhouse and traditional second generation greenhouse).Construct the crop collocation standard of Tianjin solar greenhouse based on heat index according to the crop plant in winter.The results showed that root mean error (RMSE) and accuracy rate (AR) were used to estimate the accuracy of temperature simulation model.The RMSE of the minimum temperature in a day was between 1.9 ℃ and 3.5 ℃，the AR of absolute error below 4 ℃ was between 72% and 100%，which showed the effect of the model was good.The simulation error of maximum temperature was relative large because it was affected by ventilating.It was analyzed that the variety of positive accumulated temperature，effective accumulated temperature and critical temperature for three typical solar greenhouses from 2009 to 2014 respectively.The solar greenhouses were chosen in Jizhou，Jinghai and Wuqing district to estimate the index，which showed that the computed collocation standard was consistent with the actual collocation in crop production.
参考文献/References:
[1]金志凤,周胜军,朱育强,等.不同天气条件下日光温室内温度和相对湿度的变化特征[J].浙江农业学报,2007,19(3):188-191. [2]李春,柳芳,黎贞发,等.环渤海地区节能型日光温室生产的气候资源分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2009,30(2):50-53. [3]郜庆炉,薛香,段爱旺.日光温室内温度特点及其变化规律研究[J].灌溉排水学报,2003，22(6):50-53. [4]柳芳,王铁,刘淑梅.天津市二代节能型日光温室内部温湿度预测模型：以西青为例[J].中国农业气象,2009,30(增1):86-89. [5]刘淑梅,薛庆禹,黎贞发,等.基于BP神经经网络的日光温室气温预报模型[J].中国农业大学学报,2015,20(1):176-184. [6]张亚红,陈青云.中国温室气候区划及评述[J].农业工程学报,2006,22(11):197-202. [7]赵子征,彭高军,辛本胜.我国西北地区节能型日光温室蔬菜生产气候区划[J].农机化研究,2006,5(5):87-90. [8]王孝卿,李楠,薛晓萍.寿光日光温室小气候变化规律及模拟方法[J].中国农学通报,2012,28(10):236-242. [9]王春玲,魏瑞江,申双和,等.基于BP神经网络的冬季日光温室小气候模拟[J].中国农学通报,2014,30(5):149-157. [10]孟力力,杨其长,GERARD P A,等.日光温室热环境模拟模型的构建[J].农业工程学报,2009,25(1):164-170. [11]佟国红,李保明,CHRISTOPHER D M,等.用CFD方法模拟日光温室温度环境初探[J].农业工程学报,2007,23(7):178-185. [12]MATLAB中文论坛．MATLAB神经网络30个案例分析[M].北京：航空航天大学出版社，2010:1-2. [13]HAGAN M T,DEMUTH H B,BEALE M H.Neural network design[M].戴葵，译．北京：机械工业出版社，2002:8-22. [14]张银锁,宇振荣,DRIESSEN P M.夏玉米植株及叶片生长发育热量需求的试验与模拟研究[J].应用生态学报,2001,12(4):561-565. [15]曹元鑫,毕延刚,李娟起,等.温室黄瓜发育期模拟模型的检验[J].中国农业大学学报,2014,19(3):145-153. [16]毛留喜,魏丽.特色农业气象服务手册[M].北京：气象出版社,2015. [17]李天来.日光温室蔬菜栽培理论与实践[M].北京：中国农业出版社,2015.
相似文献/References:
[1]田 蕾,张雪艳,宗庆姝.宁夏日光温室樱桃番茄品种筛选[J].北方园艺,2014,38(12):36.
TIAN Lei,ZHANG Xue-yan,ZONG Qing-shu.Comparison of Cherry Tomato Varieties in Solar Greenhouse in Ningxia[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):36.
[2]吕 涛,于 杰,赵 勇.日光温室越冬栽培番茄适宜品种筛选试验[J].北方园艺,2014,38(12):40.
LV Tao,YU Jie,ZHAO Yong.Selection of Overwintering Tomato Varieties Suitable for Solar Greenhouse in Heilongjiang[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):40.
[3]张力飞.无花果“麦司依陶芬”日光温室栽培新技术[J].北方园艺,2014,38(12):43.
[4]程春霞.西宁地区日光温室丝瓜引种品比试验[J].北方园艺,2014,38(13):37.
CHENG Chun-xia.Variety Comparison Test of Introduced Towel Grourd Cultivars in Solar Greenhouse in Xining District[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):37.
[5]陈建军,王正义,陈海洋.宁夏日光温室与塑料大棚环境对比分析[J].北方园艺,2014,38(10):36.
CHEN Jian-jun,WANG Zheng-yi,CHEN Hai-yang.Comparative Analysis on Environment in a Solar Greenhouse and Plastic Greenhouse in Ningxia[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):36.
[6]王国东.北方地区日光温室栽培状态下西番莲生长动态研究[J].北方园艺,2014,38(10):40.
WANG Guo-dong.Study on Growth Dynamic of the Passion Fruit in Solar Greenhouse in Northern Area[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):40.
[7]王文平.肃州区非耕地日光温室葡萄反季节高效节水栽培技术[J].北方园艺,2014,38(10):43.
[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):43.
[8]白青华,马红勇,殷雪莲,等.低温期不同结构日光温室温度变化及其对樱桃番茄生长的影响[J].北方园艺,2013,37(22):59.
BAI Qing-hua,MA Hong-yong,YIN Xue-lian,et al.Temperature Changes in Solar Greenhouses with Different Structures in the Low Temperature Period and Its Effect on Growth of Cherry Tomatoes[J].Northern Horticulture,2013,37(09):59.
[9]何志刚,王秀娟,董 环,等.秸秆反应堆和功能菌对日光温室番茄生长发育及土壤微生态环境的影响[J].北方园艺,2013,37(22):184.
HE Zhi-gang,WANG Xiu-juan,DONG Huan,et al.Effects of Straw Reactors and Function Microorganism on Growth and Soil Micro-eco-environment of Tomato[J].Northern Horticulture,2013,37(09):184.
[10]何斌,王宏丽,邹志荣.内蒙古乌海非耕地日光温室建筑与结构设计[J].北方园艺,2014,38(04):41.
HE Bin,WANG Hong-li,ZOU Zhi-rong.Architectural and Structural Design of Solar Greenhouse in Inner Mongolia Wuhai Non-cultivated Land[J].Northern Horticulture,2014,38(09):41.
备注/Memo
第一作者简介：柳芳（1977-），女，新疆五家渠人，硕士，副研级高工，现主要从事农业气候资源评价及设施农业气象灾害评估等研究工作。E-mail:LF770303@foxmail.com.基金项目：中国气象局气候变化专项资助项目（CCSF201521）；天津市科委青年基金资助项目(16JCQNJC14900)；天津市农业科技成果转化与推广资助项目（201502150）；天津市气象局博士基金资助项目（BSJJ201505）。收稿日期：2018-02-23