SHAO Hongling,LU Jian.Analysis on Agricultural Products Export of Hebei Province Based on Constant Market Share Model[J].Northern Horticulture,2017,41(11):199-203.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.201711042]
基于恒定市场份额模型的河北省农产品出口分析
- Title:
- Analysis on Agricultural Products Export of Hebei Province Based on Constant Market Share Model
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 运用恒定市场份额模型从总体和分类2个层面对河北省农产品出口波动的影响因素进行分析。结果表明：2008年和2009年农产品出口竞争力的提高成为河北省农产品出口增长的主要因素；2010—2014年世界市场农产品进口需求成为拉动河北省农产品出口增长的主要因素；河北省出口农产品结构的变化基本符合世界农产品进口需求结构的变化，但对河北省农产品出口增长的推动作用有限。
- Abstract:
- This study used constant market share model to analyze the influence factors of agricultural products export fluctuation in Hebei Province from both of overall aspect and classified aspect.The results showed that in 2008 and 2009，the improvement of agricultural product export competitiveness became the main factor of agricultural products export growth in Hebei Province，from 2010 to 2014，the import demand of world market on agricultural products became the main factor driving agricultural products export growth in Hebei Province，the change of export structure of agricultural products in Hebei Province was in line with the change of import demand structure of world agricultural products，but it played the limited role in promoting agricultural products export growth in Hebei Province.
参考文献/References:
[1]张兵,刘丹.美国农产品出口贸易的影响因素分析:基于恒定市场份额模型测算[J].国际贸易问题,2012(6):49-60. [2]李冬梅,吕建兴,肖植文,等.云南省农产品出口增长影响因素分析:基于CMS模型的实证研究[J].安徽农业科学,2013(2):863-866. [3]胡求光,邱晓红.中国水产品出口增长因素的恒定市场模型分析[J].财经论丛,2008(7):8-14. [4]帅传敏,程国强,张金隆.中国农产品国际竞争力的估计[J].管理世界,2003(1):97-103.
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介：邵红岭（1974-），女，河北东光人，博士，副教授，现主要从事农产品贸易等研究工作。E-mail:shaohongling@126.com.基金项目：2016年河北省科技厅软科学资助项目（16457512D）；河北省教育厅资助项目（ZD201516）;保定市哲学社会科学规划资助项目(2016Q089)。