WU Yuhuan,GUO Jingli.Analysis of Green Been Price Fluctutions and Trend[J].Northern Horticulture,2016,40(18):196-201.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.201618049]
我国绿豆价格波动及趋势分析
- Title:
- Analysis of Green Been Price Fluctutions and Trend
- Keywords:
- mung bean; prices volatility; price forecast
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 国家对小作物产业发展越来越重视，2009年农业部和财政部将食用豆列为50个农产品现代农业产业技术体系建设之一。绿豆作为我国人民的传统豆类食物，是日常生活中必不可少的食物。研究绿豆的价格波动，对于消费者有重要意义，对于绿豆种植区域的农户也有重要作用，同时，对于绿豆产业的发展起到重要的指导作用。现利用HP滤波法对绿豆价格的长期及短期趋势进行分析，同时利用ARIMA对绿豆的价格进行预测。
- Abstract:
- The state of small crop industry development is getting more and more attention from country.In 2009，the ministry of agriculture and the ministry of finance regarded edible beans as one of modern agricultural industry technology system.Mung bean，as traditional soy foods of our people，is an essential food in daily life.The price fluctuation in green beans，not only have important meaning to consumers but also to farmers.At the same time，it plays an important guiding role.In this paper，the HP filter method for long-term trend and short-term trend of prices to analyze was used，and ARIMA to forecast the price of mung bean was used at the same time.
参考文献/References:
[1]张蕙杰,郭永田,周俊玲,等,近年绿豆价格波动的成因分析[J].农业经济问题,2012(4):30-33. [2]刘慧.我国绿豆生产现状和发展前景[J].农业展望,2012(6):36-39. [3]刘慧,李宁辉.我国小宗农产品价格波动趋势及其预测[J].价格理论与实践,2012(6):57-58. [4]刘慧,李宁辉.小品种农产品价格波动原因的实证分析[J].农业技术经济,2014(2):76-84. [5]梁杰,尹智超,王英杰,等.吉林省白城市绿豆产业发展现状及发展对策[J].园艺与种苗,2013(7):47-49.
相似文献/References:
[1]孙丽丽,李丽,董银卯.绿豆萌芽中生物活性成分及其制备工艺研究进展[J].北方园艺,2013,37(01):194.
SUN Li-li,LI Li,DONG Yin-mao.Researoh Progress of the Active Components and Preparation Technology of the Mung Beans and the Sprouts[J].Northern Horticulture,2013,37(18):194.
[2]丁 健,朱 涛,张 洁.武汉市蔬菜市场调查分析[J].北方园艺,2012,36(22):198.
DING Jian,ZHU Tao,ZHANG Jie.The Research on Vegetable Market in Wuhan[J].Northern Horticulture,2012,36(18):198.
[3]张静,杜庆平,汤鹏先.赤霉素对三种豆类芽菜生长的影响[J].北方园艺,2012,36(07):27.
ZHANG Jing,DU Qing-ping,TANG Peng-xian.Influence of Gibberellic Acid on the Growth of Three Kinds of Beans Shoot food[J].Northern Horticulture,2012,36(18):27.
[4]王元军,王新宁.不同水质对绿豆萌发影响的研究[J].北方园艺,2011,35(10):0.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.2011010007]
WANG YuarvjunI,WANG Xin-ning.Influences of Different Kinds of Drinking Water on Germination of Mung Bean[J].Northern Horticulture,2011,35(18):0.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.2011010007]
[5]方 元 平,朱 孟 良,项 俊.乌 梅 绿 豆 沙 复 合 保 健 饮 料 的 研 制[J].北方园艺,2008,32(10):0.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.2008010075]
FANG Yuan -ping,ZHU Meng -liang,XIANG Jun.Study on the Health Complex Drink with Mung Bean Paste and Fructus Mume[J].Northern Horticulture,2008,32(18):0.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.2008010075]
[6]刘潮,韩利红,王海波,等.绿豆类甜蛋白家族鉴定与生物信息学分析[J].北方园艺,2017,41(20):31.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20172195]
LIU Chao,HAN Lihong,WANG Haibo,et al.Identification and Bioinformatics Analysis of Thaumatin-like Protein Family in Vigna radiata[J].Northern Horticulture,2017,41(18):31.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20172195]
[7]宋洋,郑姗,吴嘉锡,等.北京市小宗蔬菜价格走势及波动周期分析[J].北方园艺,2018,42(01):167.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20172144]
SONG Yang,ZHENG Shan,WU Jiaxi,et al.Analysis on the Price Trend and Fluctuation Cycle ofCareen Vegetables in Beijing[J].Northern Horticulture,2018,42(18):167.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20172144]
[8]齐文靖,于晗,张佳慧,等.不同重金属胁迫对绿豆种子萌发和幼苗部分生理指标的影响[J].北方园艺,2018,42(21):1.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20181846]
QI Wenjing,YU Han,ZHANG Jiahui,et al.Effects of Heavy Metal Ions Stress on Seed Germination and Seedling Physiological Indices of Green Bean[J].Northern Horticulture,2018,42(18):1.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20181846]
[9]刘鹏伟,苏美蕊,吴晓萍,等.基于价格波动中介效应的气候灾害对生计脆弱性的影响机理研究[J].北方园艺,2019,43(08):154.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20182942]
LIU Pengwei,SU Meirui,WU Xiaoping,et al.Study on the Impact Mechanism of Climate Disasters on Livelihood Vulnerability Based on Mediation Effect of Price Fluctuations[J].Northern Horticulture,2019,43(18):154.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20182942]
[10]刘文君,周建辉,陈宝玲,等.华南地区秋茬南瓜套种绿豆栽培技术[J].北方园艺,2020,44(07):175.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20193512]
备注/Memo
第一作者简介：武玉环（1991-），女，河北沧州人，硕士研究生，研究方向为农业经济理论与政策。E-mail:wuyuhuan5858@163.com.责任作者：郭静利（1969-），男，河北赵县人，博士，副研究员，现主要从事农业经济理论与政策等研究工作。E-mail:1397121092@qq.com.基金项目：国家食用豆产业技术体系资助项目（CARS-09-G16-03）。