LIU Chun,LI Qing.Research Process on the Effect of Climate Change About Agricultural Production[J].Northern Horticulture,2016,40(17):197-201.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.201617048]
气候变化对农业生产影响的研究进展
- Title:
- Research Process on the Effect of Climate Change About Agricultural Production
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 随着全球变暖的加剧,气候波动对农业生产的作用愈加突出,现就国内外学者近几十年来有关气候变化与农业生产关系的研究成果进行了归纳总结。结果表明:当前的研究主要聚焦于气候变化对大田作物产量、品质、种植面积及农业投入成本方面,对林果业的研究涉及较少;国内现有的研究方法以试验模拟和定量分析为主,此类研究方法基本偏向于单学科研究,对各学科交叉耦合分析不足,有待进一步深入研究;预警机制的滞后性阻碍了农户应对气候变化能力的有效性,今后需在落实应对气候变化行动的同时,加强农业气象预警机制建设,以提高农户的适应性。
- Abstract:
- With the aggravation of global climate change,its impact on agricultural production was increasingly highlighted.This paper summarized and concluded the research results on climate change and agricultural production relationships of scholars at home and aboard in recent decades.Meanwhile the study found that the current research mainly focused on that climate change influenced production quality,cultivated area and input costs rather than characteristic forestry,citrus and extremely climate risk.The current research method in the domestic was mainly focused on experimental simulation and quantitative analysis.This research method tended to be single-subject and lacked of blending of all kinds of subjects,needing to be researched deeper.Early warning mechanism hysteresis prevented validity that farmer’s ability of climate change.So it need to implement the action on climate change in the future,at the same time need to strengthen the construction of agricultural meteorological early warning mechanism to improve the famer’s adaptation.
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介:刘春(1989-),女,硕士研究生,研究方向为干旱区资源保护。E-mail:1542624199@qq.com.责任作者:李青(1969-),女,博士,教授,现主要从事干旱区资源保护利用与特色产业资源配置等研究工作。E-mail:Liqing0514@163.com.基金项目:国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2014BAC14B05)。