Empirical Research on Impact of Farmer′s Endowments，Risk Preference on Planting Decisions of Watermelon Farmers(PDF)

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Title:: Empirical Research on Impact of Farmer′s Endowments，Risk Preference on Planting Decisions of Watermelon Farmers

Author(s):: WEN Changcun; SUN Yuzhu; WU Jingxue; (Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development，Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences，Beijing 100081)

Keywords:: farmer′s endowments; risk preference; planting decisions; watermelon; penalized Logistic model

Abstract:: Based on survey data collected from watermelon farmers in Hubei Province，this study analyzed watermelon farmer′s motivation，willingness to expand the production scale and its restriction factor by using the descriptive statistical.A penalized binary logistic regression model was applied to reveal the determinants influential factors of planting decision-making behavior of watermelon farmers.The main conclusions were as follows:1)the interviewed farmers showed their willingness to expand production scale，and the main restriction factors were workforce shortages，barriers to use new techniques of pest control and sharp fluctuations in market price of watermelon.2) The farmer′s decision with respect to expand watermelon scale was influenced differently by risk preference，farmer′s endowments，market factors.On the marginal effects of variables that household age，watermelon income share，marketing capability were the most important influential factors on planting decision-making (its marginal effect were more than 20%).Accordingly suggestions such as agricultural subsidy policy and crop insurance are proposed and to promote the demonstration of new technologies to ease the labor force were proposed.

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Last Update: 2017-03-22