|Table of Contents|

Analysis of the Sensitivity and Contribution Rate of the Components of Yali Pear Planting Income in Hebei Province

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Issue:
2024年24
Page:
139-146
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Analysis of the Sensitivity and Contribution Rate of the Components of Yali Pear Planting Income in Hebei Province
Author(s):
HU Zhichao; LIU Haibin; SONG Meixue; ZHANG Liang
(School of Economics and Management，Hebei Agricultural University，Baoding,Hebei 071001)
Keywords:
Yali pear; planting income; sensitivity; contribution rate
PACS:
F 326.13
DOI:
10.11937/bfyy.20240912
Abstract:
Based on the cost-benefit data of pear cultivation in Hebei Province from 1998 to 2021，from the perspectives of sensitivity and contribution rate，the unit root test，E-G two-step cointegration test，and contribution rate method were used to conduct linear regression empirical analysis on the various components of pear cultivation income,in order to optimize the allocation of pear production resources in Hebei Province，inject new vitality into improving the quality and efficiency of pear production，and strengthen the pear industry to drive sustained income growth.Sensitivity analysis showed that the selling price had the most significant effect on the planting income，followed by labor cost per 667 m2，production，material and service cost and land cost.The contribution rate analysis showed that the contribution rate of each component of Yali pear plantation income in Hebei Province was successively sales price，production per 667 m2，labor cost，material and service cost and land cost.Finally，it was proposed to promote the standardization of the whole industry chain and build the pear brand,in order to improve the yield of Yali pear planting in Hebei province，some countermeasures were proposed，such as updating pear planting mode and reducing manual input.

References:

1］吴昊,胡展森.河北省梨产业与乡村规划融合发展建议［J］.中国果树,2023(5):136-140.［2］梁松,赵建中.河北省梨果产业经济发展及贡献评析［J］.中国果树,2022(12):68-73.［3］王翔宇,孔维昊,张岩峰,等.基于波特五力模型的河北省梨产业竞争优势及战略分析［J］.河北农业科学,2022,26(6):39-42.［4］杨钰莹,司伟.大豆玉米带状复合种植:技术模式、成本收益与补贴政策［J］.农业经济问题,2023(1):49-63.［5］贾兴梅,李平.我国粮食作物成本统计数据的准确性评估［J］.统计与决策,2014(6):16-18.［6］曾福生,戴鹏.粮食生产收益影响因素贡献率测度与分析［J］.中国农村经济,2011(1):66-76.［7］孙飞,陈玉萍.湖北省油菜种植收益影响因素的实证分析［J］.中国农业大学学报,2019,24(9):198-206.［8］樊斌,李明阳.中国黄瓜种植收益影响因素贡献率的比较分析［J］.北方园艺,2023(15):135-143.［9］马晓河.中国农业收益与生产成本变动的结构分析［J］.中国农村经济,2011(5):4-11,56.［10］陈玉珠,周宏.三大玉米主产区农户种植优势的比较分析:基于种植净收益因素贡献率视角［J］.湖南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015,16(6):25-30.［11］田甜,李隆玲,黄东,等.未来中国粮食增产将主要依靠什么?:基于粮食生产“十连增” 的分析［J］.中国农村经济,2015(6):13-22.［12］周少燕,赵慧峰,张存彦,等.河北省不同栽培模式的梨果生产劳动力成本分析［J］.湖北农业科学,2012,51(10):2157-2160.［13］刘辉丽,魏园园,王帅帅.河北省鸭梨生产成本分析［J］.环渤海经济瞭望,2013(1):48-51.［14］杨念,王蔚宇,王志丹,等.河北省梨果生产影响因素评价指标体系及实证分析［J］.北方园艺,2014(23):184-187.［15］范成方,史建民.山东省粮食种植成本影响因素的实证分析:以玉米、小麦为例［J］.中国农业资源与区划,2014,35(2):67-74.［16］石会娟,王俊芹.基于SWOT法的河北省梨产业发展现状及对策分析［J］.中国果树,2019(1):96-99.［17］余国新,吕海洋,甘昶春.新疆棉花成本收益与价格时变特征研究［J］.价格理论与实践,2022(2):116-119,201.［18］张靖国,陈启亮,杨晓平,等.湖北省梨产业发展现状及对策建议［J］.中国果树,2023(12):115-118.［19］达摩达尔·N.古扎拉蒂(Damodar N.Gujarati) 唐·C.波特(Dawn C.Porter)著.费剑平译.计量经济学基础［M］.北京:中国人民大学出版社,2011.［20］王彩峰,史建民.山东省苹果种植收益影响因素的实证分析［J］.中国农业资源与区划,2017,38(10):215-221.［21］赵明新,曹继礼,曹刚,等.梨新栽培模式发展中存在问题及对策分析［J］.北方园艺,2023(17):146-152.

Memo

Memo:
-
Last Update: 2025-01-07