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Research on Apple Market Price Forecast and Early Warning in China

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Issue:
2019年09
Page:
170-175
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Research on Apple Market Price Forecast and Early Warning in China
Author(s):
WANG Jian
(Economic Trade Department,Hebei Finance University/Science and Technology Financy Key Laboratory of Hebei Province,Baoding,Hebei 071051)
Keywords:
apple price; price forecast; early warning; ARIMA model
PACS:
-
DOI:
10.11937/bfyy.20182441
Abstract:
In recent years，price fluctuations in the apple market have frequently occurred.Analyzing the price characteristics and fluctuation rules of Chinese apple market is of great significance to the reform of Chinese agricultural product supply side.This study used ARIMA model to make a short-term prediction of the ‘Fuji’ apple price index in China，and conduct early warning of price fluctuations in the apple market.The results showed that the model could predict the price fluctuation of apple and provided references for the changes of apple market information in China.

References:

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Last Update: 2019-06-14