|Table of Contents|

Analysis on the Price Trend and Fluctuation Cycle ofCareen Vegetables in Beijing(PDF)

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Issue:
2018年01
Page:
167-172
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Analysis on the Price Trend and Fluctuation Cycle ofCareen Vegetables in Beijing
Author(s):
SONG Yang1ZHENG Shan1WU Jiaxi2ZONG Yixiang1ZHAO Banghong1
1.College of Economics and Trade,Hebei Agricultural University,Baoding,Hebei 071000;2.Shiyan School Attached to Shijiazhuang No.2 Middle School,Shijiazhuang,Hebei 050000
Keywords:
careen vegetableprice fluctuationperiodic decompositionHP filter decomposition
PACS:
-
DOI:
10.11937/bfyy.20172144
Abstract:
In recent years,the prices of careen vegetable had been fluctuated very frequently which had seriously affected the interests of producers and consumers.In this study,the monthly data of average wholesale price of ginger,garlic and green onion from January 2012 to December 2016 were selected as the research object.The price trend of ginger garlic was analyzed and the price of green onion,ginger,garlic was analyzed by HP filter decomposition model decomposition,as such analyzes the inherent law of price fluctuation.The results showed that the price of shallot,ginger and garlic was fluctuated largely than that of fruit market and pig market with no obvious regularity,a short volatility period and poor market stability.The price cycle of ginger was shortened,and the price cycle of garlic and green onion was expanding.

References:

[1]涂涛涛,李崇光.中国蔬菜价格波动与通货膨胀:基于波动来源的分解[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014(1):37-43.

[2]周振亚,李建平,张晴.我国蔬菜价格问题及其成因分析[J].农业经济问题,2012(7):91-95.
[3]宋长鸣,徐娟,章胜勇,等.蔬菜价格波动和纵向传导机制研究:基于VAR和VECH模型的分析[J].农业技术经济,2013(2):10-21.
[4]李娜.我国蔬菜价格波动的影响因素研究[D].泰安:山东农业大学,2013.
[5]殷端.季节调整后的蔬菜价格与CPI之间关系研究[J].广东农业科学,2014,41(17):201-205.
[6]代明慧,张红丽,王浩淼,等.蔬菜价格波动特征及其影响因素分析:基于山东省蔬菜种植户的问卷调查[J].江苏农业科学,2015(6):444-447.
[7]胡友,祁春节.基于HP滤波模型的农产品价格波动分析:以水果为例[J].华中农业大学学报(社会科学版),2014(4):57-62.
[8]赵云龙,刘恩平,冷志杰,等.基于HP滤波法的菠萝价格波动分析:以北京丰台区新发地农产品批发市场为例[J].热带农业科学,2016,36(6):91-96.
[9]孙倩,穆月英.我国蔬菜价格波动、原因及其影响因素分析[J].农村金融研究,2011(8):21-26.
[10]刘金山,王景.金融化视角下的农产品价格分析:基于GED-ARCH族模型[J].金融与经济,2015(1):30-34.
[11]王森,蔡维娜.货币流动性对中国农产品价格的影响:基于随机波动的 TVP-VAR 模型的实证分析[J].经济问题,2016(2):36-43.
[12]胡小桃,赵玉龙.我国农产品价格波动的空间特征及其影响因素:基于2002-2013年省级面板数据[J].商业经济研究,2016(18):153-156.
[13]许亚萍,张爽.我国小麦价格的周期性波动特征及动因分析:基于HP滤波模型[J].生产力研究,2012(3):34-35,38.
[14]侯媛媛.基于HP滤波模型的海南瓜菜价格波动分析[J].广东农业科学,2015(19):173-180.
[15]李琳玉.基于HP和BP滤波的牛羊肉价格周期波动探析[J].黑龙江畜牧兽医,2017(6):10-15.

Memo

Memo:
-
Last Update: 2018-01-12