Research on Risk Evaluation of Agricultural High-tech InvestmentProjects Based on Gray Synthetic Evaluation(PDF)

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Title:: Research on Risk Evaluation of Agricultural High-tech InvestmentProjects Based on Gray Synthetic Evaluation

Author(s):: HAN Peipei1; WEN Mingzhen1; LI Wen2; XIONG Langyu3; HOU Jingjing1; JI Gang2; 1.College of Business，Liaoning University，Shenyang,Liaoning 110036；2.College of Economics，Liaoning University，Shenyang,Liaoning 110036；3.College of Management of Zhuhai Campus，Beijing Normal University，Zhuhai,Guangdong 519087

Keywords:: gray synthetic evaluation; analytic hierarchy process; agricultural high-tech investment projects; investment risk; risk evaluation

Abstract:: According to the characteristics of agricultural high-tech investment projects，the risk index evaluation system was established by using analytic hierarchy process(AHP),the risk of agricultural high-tech investment projects was evaluated by the multi-level gray comprehensive evaluation method for the first time，and a practical example was studied.The results showed that the comprehensive values of agricultural high-tech investment projects′ risks could be effectively calculated by the multi-level gray synthetic comprehensive evaluation method and that the risk level of the project could be analyzed.By applying this method，the risk value of the criterion layer factors could be calculated separately，and the risk factors were monitored and prevented.The weight of technology，R&D and management was the most important，which was the key to the success of the project.The multi-level gray synthetic comprehensive evaluation method was the scientific tool to measure the risk of agricultural high-tech investment projects.

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Last Update: 2017-11-23