|Table of Contents|

Short-term Forecasting of Watermelon Price in China(PDF)

《北方园艺》[ISSN:1001-0009/CN:23-1247/S]

Issue:
2015年23
Page:
213-216
Research Field:
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Short-term Forecasting of Watermelon Price in China
Author(s):
ZHAO Jiang1; WU Rui2; WU Jingxue3
(1.Institute of Agricultural Scientech Information，Beijing Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences，Beijing 100097；2.California State University(East Bay)，California,United States of America 94542；3.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Development，Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences，Beijing 100081)
Keywords:
watermelon; price; forecasting
PACS:
-
DOI:
10.11937/bfyy.201523058
Abstract:
The paper established a price forecasting model based on time series through the analysis on monthly wholesale prices of watermelon in China from January 2000 to October 2014.The results indicated that both ARIMA models and seasonal factors separate models could simulate the watermelon price effectively，and the combined model had a higher precision of prediction than a single model.Then，the monthly wholesale price of watermelon from November 2014 to December 2015 was forecasted on the base of the combined model.

References:

 

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Last Update: 2016-01-18