CHEN Haisheng,DOU Qiang.Production Layout,Temporal and Spatial Evolution and Driving Factors of Vegetable Industry in China[J].Northern Horticulture,2026,(19):143-151.[doi:10.11937/bfyy.20260723]
中国蔬菜产业的生产布局、时空演变和驱动因素
- Title:
- Production Layout,Temporal and Spatial Evolution and Driving Factors of Vegetable Industry in China
- 文章编号:
- 1001-0009(2026)19-0143-09
- Keywords:
- vegetable industry; production layout; temporal and spatial evolution; spatial autocorrelation; influencing factors
- 分类号:
- F326.13
- 文献标志码:
- A
- 摘要:
- 蔬菜产业生产布局的时空演进深刻影响着国家“菜篮子”工程的稳定与安全，明晰其演变规律与驱动机制，对于优化产业布局、推动农业高质量发展具有重要的理论与现实意义。该研究综合空间基尼系数、标准差椭圆与重心迁移模型及莫兰指数，系统刻画了中国蔬菜生产的时空演进规律并解析了其驱动因素。结果表明：1）研究期内，中国蔬菜生产集聚程度整体呈下降态势，但区域间生产差异依然显著，空间布局仍维持一定的集聚特征；2）蔬菜种植重心向西南方向迁移明显，且迁移重心始终位于湖北省境内；3）蔬菜播种面积存在显著空间正相关，河南、山东等省份为稳定的优势产区，广东、云南、贵州等南方省份的空间集聚性逐步增强；4）蔬菜生产布局演变是自然条件、基础设施、社会经济、技术水平及政策环境等因素复合作用的结果。
- Abstract:
- The spatiotemporal evolution of the production layout in the vegetable industry profoundly affected the stability and security of the national ‘vegetable basket’ project.Clarifying its evolution rules and driving mechanisms held great theoretical and practical significance for optimizing the industrial layout and promoting the high-quality development of agriculture.We comprehensively utilized the spatial Gini coefficient,standard deviational ellipse,center of gravity migration model,and Moran′s index to systematically depict the spatiotemporal evolution rules of China′s vegetable production and analyze its driving factors.The results showed that，1) during the study period,the agglomeration degree of China′s vegetable production generally showed a downward trend,but the production differences among regions remained significant,and the spatial layout still maintained certain agglomeration characteristics;2) the center of gravity of vegetable planting migrated significantly towards the southwest,and the migrated center of gravity was always located within Hubei Province;3) the sown area of vegetables showed significant positive spatial correlation.Provinces such as Henan and Shandong were stable dominant production areas,and the spatial agglomeration of southern provinces such as Guangdong,Yunnan,and Guizhou gradually strengthened;4) the evolution of the vegetable production layout was the result of the combined effects of natural conditions,infrastructure,socioeconomic factors,technological level,and policy environment.
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备注/Memo
第一作者简介：陈海生（1981-），男，博士，副教授，现主要从事产业经济学、乡村治理等研究工作。E-mail:chenhs@gsau.edu.cn.基金项目：国家社会科学基金资助项目（22BKS161)。收稿日期：2026-03-09